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Additional info for Project Analysis in Developing Countries
With discou nting th e net ben efits of th e latter ne ed to be considerably high er tha n th e former to compensa te for th e delay in th eir arrival; oth erwise, discounting will favour projects with sho rter gestat ion periods. Two basic ratio na les for the process of discounting can be given. ' :' The resources committed to th e prod uctive process in one pro ject cou ld alternatively be com mit te d in another. For the first alte rnative to be preferable, th e return on resources sho uld be grea ter th an th e return on resou rces in th e other project.
82 0 -200 -100 1 20 -100 2 30 10 3 30 20 4 30 34 5 30 34 6 30 34 7 30 34 8 30 34 9 30 34 10 30 34 11 30 31 12 30 34 13 30 34 14 30 34 15 30 34 16 40 44 W 'l 38 ProjectAnalysis in Developing Countries The second rationale is based on subjective reasoning. It is presumed that resources will be committed to uses that generate an additional net income in the future . However, most people prefer additional income sooner rather than later. They have a positive rate of time preference, implying that the same additional net income in year 2 is worth more than in year 3, which is worth more than in year 4, and so on.
It involves an initial investment that allows a rapid increase in net benefits. However, the raw material base is quickly exhausted (in 1 year) and the project area has to be re-constituted in the second year, at a cost exceeding the initial investment. 1) The present values recorded at different rates of discou nt indicate that the NPV = 0 at a rate between 10 per cent and 20 per cent, and also betw een SO per cent and 60 per cent. These two IRRs are approximately 12 per cent an d SS per cen t.